Category Archives: Fantasy Football Week 4

NFL Week 4 Fantasy Impact


So what have we learned now that we are a quarter of the way through the NFL season?

  • Passing OffenseMatt Ryan and Drew Brees lead the two most prolific passing offenses in the league, averaging over 300 yards per game. Ben Roethlisberger is tied with Ryan for the league lead in passing TDs with 11 (Brees has 10).
  • Rushing Offense – You can believe that Ezekiel Elliott leads the NFL in rushing (412), but Isaiah Crowell is a close #2 with 394 yards and 3 TDs! Melvin Gordon leads the league with 6 rushing TDs.
  • Receiving – It’s not a stretch to see Julio Jones leading the league in receiving yards with 488, but Marvin Jones is a close #2 with 482. A.J. Green leads the league in receptions with 32 and is 3rd in yards with 468.  Five receivers are averaging a TD per game (A.Brown, Nelson, Crabtree, K.Benjamin, A.Robinson).   Greg Olsen and Jordan Reed are top three in receptions and yards for TEs.

Now here’s the rest of the week 4 fantasy recap…

Week 4 Aerial Attack


Matt Ryan / Julio Jones
– What a day!!!  Ryan topped 500 yards passing and Jones topped 300 receiving!  Jones (12-300-1 on 15 targets) put up the first 300 yard receiving day since Calvin Johnson did it in 2013. Matty Ice was 28/37 for 503 yards with 4 TDs and 1 Int.  Matt Ryan is having a career year, but remember it’s only been 4 games.  He won’t keep up this pace, but could be a top 5 QB this year.

Ben Roethlisberger / Antonio Brown – Ben and Brown rebounded well from their blowout loss to the Eagles last week and manhandled the Chiefs.  Ben was an efficient 22/27 for 300 yards and 5 TDs.  Brown (4-64-2 on 5 targets) didn’t have his typical workload, but he made his looks count with 2 TDs.

Derek Carr / Michael Crabtree – Carr is continuing to progress in his 3rd year in the league.  Carr only put up 199 yards passing, but he threw 4 TDs with no Ints and three of them went to Crabtree.  Crabtree (7-88-3 on 12 targets) has been the best WR on the Raiders this year, but I sure am not giving up on Amari Cooper.  If anything, I’m trying to buy low on him.

Brian Hoyer / Eddie Royal – Of course everyone expected this…  Eddie Royal (7-111-1 on 7 targets) led the receivers on this day.  In place of Jay Cutler, Hoyer was 28/36 for 302 yards and 2 TDs.  I like Royal as a waiver wire pickup this week.  Kevin White was placed on IR, the Bears are going to need to throw no matter what, and Alshon Jeffrey is not a poster child of health.

Philip Rivers / Dontrelle Inman – Inman (7-120-1 on 11 targets) was the main cog in the passing game this week.  Rivers was 28/43 for 321yards with 2 TDs and 1 Int.  It appears that any of Inman, Travis Benjamin (4-48-0 on 7 targets), and Tyrell Williams (5-40-0 on 8 targets) can be the go to receiver in any given week.

Andy Dalton / A.J. Green – Green (10-173-1 on 12 targets) put up a monster night on Thursday and won many fantasy games for his owners.  Dalton was 22/31 for 296 yards and a TD.  Right now, A.J. Green is in the top 3 WR conversation, not Odell Beckham.

Russell Wilson / Jimmy Graham – There was a Jimmy Graham (6-113-0 on 8 targets) sighting this week, practically his first since becoming a Seahawk.  Wilson was 23/32 for 309 yards and 3 TDs.  If Graham is healthy and they continue to target him in the passing game, he’ll be a TE1.  I need to see a few more games like this to believe.

John Brown – What a coming out party for John Brown.  Brown (10-144-0) led the team in targets with 16 while Larry Fitzgerald (5-62-0) and Michael Floyd (3-36-1) had 7 each.  Fitzgerald is clearly Carson Palmer’s #1 target, but not so much when Palmer’s not under center.  Brown and Floyd will have a few big games, but a lot of duds too.

Steve Smith – Is this a sign of things to come?  Smith (8-111-1 on 11 targets) showed up in a big way and wants to pick up where he left off in 2015.  He’s a good waiver wire add if available because he’s proven he can be a game-breaker.

Jordan Reed – Reed (9-73-2 on 10 targets) was the man for the Redskins this week and is pushing to be the #1 TE in fantasy football.

Week 4 Ground Breakers


Le’Veon Bell
– Welcome back Bell!  And he paid dividends to his fantasy owners that have waited him out.  Bell (18-144-0 and 5-34 on 6 targets) led the running attack as DeAngelo Williams took more of a reserve role.  Bell’s electric!!!

Ezekiel Elliott – Elliott (23-138-1 and 1 catch for 19 yards) had another big game and it looks like he’ll live up to his potential as a top 5 RB.

DeMarco Murray – Murray (25-95-2 and 2-24) didn’t go over 100 yards but came close and scored 2 TDs.  Murray is showing that he still has something left in the tank and has been a solid RB1 so far this year.

Terrence West – West (21-113-1) was the lead back in week 4 and performed well.  Justin Forsett was inactive for the game and the team has since cut him.  Kenneth Dixon will be returning from injury and it will be interesting to see how this backfield plays out.  West is a low end option because of lack of job security.  Dixon (and Buck Allen) has a lot of hype, but I don’t think I can trust this backfield until the Ravens find a true lead back.

Jordan Howard – Howard (23-111-0 and 3-21 on 4 targets) seems to have filled the role of injured Jeremy Langford pretty well.  Howard got all the rushing load other than 3 carries to recently signed Joique Bell.

Isaiah Crowell – Crowell (15-112-1 and 3-22 receiving on 4 targets) led the browns in rushing again this week.  “The Crow” has had two 100 yard games and scored a TD in 3 of 4.  The Browns stink but somehow Crowell is still putting up stats.

Matt Jones – It was clearly Jones’ backfield in week 4.  Jones (22-117-1 and 2-21) carried the ball 22 times while Chris Thompson and Rob Kelly combined for 4.  I still don’t feel that his job is secure, but it was nice to see Jones have a good day and he keeps the starting gig another day.

Melvin Gordon – This guy is a TD machine in 2016 after not scoring a single one in his rookie year.  Gordon (19-36-2 and 6-43 on 7 targets) wasn’t very efficient with only 36 yards on a big workload, but it was nice to see him also used in the passing game.  He’s a solid RB2.

John Kuhn – Didn’t expect to see him on the list did ya?!?!?  Kuhn had a whopping 3 carries for 5 yards and 2 catches for 7 yards.  Why is he on this list???  He punched in 2 TDs on the ground and one in the air.  Don’t expect a repeat performance this year, but he could cut into Mark Ingram’s short yardage/goal line work moving forward.

Injury Report (And Replacements)


Cam Newton (Concussion)
– Cam is questionable with a concussion he suffered on his short yardage TD run.  If he’s not cleared to play, Derek Anderson will be under center.

Carson Palmer (Concussion) – Palmer suffered a concussion and is already ruled out for week 5.  Drew Stanton will start against the 49ers.  I’m benching Larry Fitzgerald in my lineups where possible, but I think Michael Floyd could put up some stats with Stanton this week.

Latavius Murray (Toe) – It’s doubtful that Murray suits up this week.  Look for DeAndre Washington to lead the backfield against San Diego and he’s a decent bye week replacement.

Doug Martin (Hamstring) – It looks like Doug Martin will be held out of action until after the Tampa Bay’s week 6 bye. Charles Sims will carry the load and Jacquizz Rodgers will also chip in.

Rashad Jennings (Thumb) – Jennings is still 50/50 to play this week.  Orleans Darkwa was the lead back last week, but boy did Paul Perkins look good!  It will be interesting to see how this backfield looks in a few weeks, but I’m staying away for now.

Jonathan Stewart (Hamstring) – Questionable for week 5.

Arian Foster (Hamstring) – Questionable for week 5.

Dez Bryant (Knee) – Bryant is expected to miss week 5 and is week-to-week with a hairline fracture.  Cole Beasley, Terrance Williams, and Brice Butler will likely be the WRs for Dallas.

Eric Decker (Shoulder) – Decker is questionable for week 5.  Quincy Enunwa would be the beneficiary if he doesn’t play and is a decent play against a poor Steelers pass defense.

Tyler Eifert (Back) – Just as Eifert was making progress to make his 2016 debut, he came up lame with a back injury at Monday’s practice.  His status for week 5 is up in the air again.  My patience as an Eifert owner is wearing thin!!!

Antonio Gates (Hamstring) – Gates is back at practice and it looks like he has a good shot at playing this week.  TE Hunter Henry will take a hit in his production if Gates returns.

Zach Miller (Ribs) – Questionable for week 5.

Words of Wisdom

We’re almost a third of the way through our fantasy seasons, but now our team depths will come into play with bye weeks coming in full force.  There are four teams on bye in week 5 (Sea, NO, Jax, and KC) and six teams on bye in week 8.  It’s extremely important to bolster your bench depth before you’re players are off.  It’s great to have speculative picks on your team for those boom or bust players, or backups waiting in the wings, but it’s also important to have some depth with players that actually get playing time.  Look for one week injury replacements if possible, like Orleans Darkwa (12-48-1) this week in place of Rashad Jennings.  And sometimes we have to start a team’s #2 RB in our fantasy lineups due to our injuries and bye weeks.  Here are a few #2’s to consider simply because they get some guaranteed volume:

  • Tevin Coleman (Devonta Freeman)
  • Matt Asiata (Jerick McKinnon)
  • Giovani Bernard (Jeremy Hill)
  • Duke Johnson (Isaiah Crowell)
  • Bilal Powell (Matt Forte)
  • Derrick Henry (DeMarco Murray)
  • DeAndre Washington (Latavius Murray)
  • Wendell Smallwood (Ryan Mathews)

Good luck in Week 5!!!

Advertisements

NFL Week 3 Fantasy Impact



Week 3 ended with a bang on Monday night as the Falcons and Saints combined for 77 points and plenty of fantasy matchups were decided.  Julio Jones (1-16) and Brandin Cooks (2-13) sure didn’t help their teams.  On the other hand, Drew Brees threw for 376 with 3 TDs, Devonta Freeman had 217 combined yards with a TD, and Tevin Coleman scored 3 TDs on 89 combined yards.  Those are some big fantasy games!  The other huge NFL game this week, as far as fantasy impact goes, was the Eagles drubbing of the Steelers.  The Philadelphia defense held the mighty Steelers to 3 points in this one.  Antonio Brown (12-140 on 18 targets) had the only respectable game for the Steelers.  Carson Wentz looked spectacular with his first career 300 yard game, including a 73 yard TD pass to Darren Sproles.  And the kid still hasn’t thrown an interception as a pro.  It’s getting sunny in Philadelphia!

And now onto the rest of the week 3 fantasy recap…

 

Week 3 Fantasy Highlights


Trevor Siemian (Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas)
– Siemian looked like a long time pro in this one throwing for 312 yards and 4 TDs.  His top WRs benefited from the performance with Sanders (9-117-2) and Thomas (6-100-1) both going over 100 yards and combining for 3 TDs.

Matt Stafford (Marvin Jones) – Stafford has started out 2016 looking pretty good.  He threw for 385 yards with 3 TDs / 1 Int.  Marvin Jones (6-205-2) was the beneficiary in this one going over 200 yards receiving.  Jones is filling in the shoes of Megatron nicely!  I’d hold on to both of these players until it falls apart.

Aaron Rodgers (Jordy Nelson) – Rodgers threw 4 TDs but for only 205 yards.  He hooked up with Nelson (6-101-2) on 2 of them.  This tandem may be getting back to form.

Terrelle Pryor – Terrelle “Triple Threat” Pryor put up stats passing, rushing, and receiving.  In the passing game, he completed 3 of 5 for 35 yards, but caught 8-144.  He chipped in 4 carries for 21 yards and a rushing TD.  He’s an okay low-end receiving option, but don’t expect many big games, especially with Josh Gordon returning soon from his suspension.

Carlos Hyde – Hyde (21-103-2) finally went over the century mark this season and doubled his TD total on the year to 4.  He will have up and down games that will likely drive you nuts all year.  With that said, he’s still a solid RB3 and can easily fill in during bye weeks.

Jeremy Hill – Hill (17-92-2) was the only bright spot for the Bengals when they played a tough Denver defense.

DeMarco Murray – Murray (16-114-1) went over 100 yards but still gives up a decent amount of carries to Derrick Henry (10-45-0).  I think this is what we’re going to see as far as the workload split until later in the season when Murray may slow down.

Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas was up early in this one and Elliott (30-140-0) ran it home.  He also had 2-20 in the receiving game.  He’s living up to his RB1 status.

David Johnson – Johnson (19-83-2) is also living up to his first round status with 2 TDs and also caught 3-28.

LeGarrette Blount – Mr. Consistency???  Blount (24-105-2) had another game with 20+ carries and has scored a TD in every game.  Ride him while he’s hot (and before Dion Lewis returns from IR)!

LeSean McCoy – McCoy (17-110-2) looked good this week and has been chipping in 3 to 4 catches per game which helps in PPR leagues.

Todd Gurley – This isn’t quite a highlight, but it’s hope.  Gurley (27-85-2) scored 2 TDs and the Los Angeles Rams put up 37 points.  If the offense can continue to give him this volume, he’s sure to break a few big runs.  As of now, he’s a low-end RB1 with all the upside in the world.  I would not sell low on him.

Allen Robinson – Robinson (7-57-2) had his first decent game of the year.  He hasn’t gone over 75 yards receiving in a game this year, but should be fine as a low-end WR1 / high-end WR2.

Doug Baldwin – Baldwin (8-164-1) had a great game and was targeted 10 times.

Mike Evans – Evans (10-132-1) had a productive day and will continue to be one of the most targeted WRs in the game.

T.Y. Hilton – Hilton (8-174-1) finally woke up in this one.  He was targeted 11 times and looks to be the main beneficiary with Donte Moncrief out.

Jimmy Graham – Is this a return to fantasy relevance???  I sure hope so and so do Seahawk fans.  Graham (6-100-1) was targeted 9 times in the game.  I’m going to wait and see if there’s a repeat performance before I believe.

Cameron Brate – Brate (5-46-2 on 10 targets) has taken over at TE for the recently released Austin Seferian-Jenkins.  Jenkins has since signed with the New York Jets.  I like Brate to be a solid bye week replacement at TE this year.  As for Jenkins, he always shows flashes but just can’t get it together; I’m not buying.

Zach Miller – Brian Hoyer targeted Miller (8-78-2) 9 times in the game and he also got 2 TDs.  He’ll have a few big games but he’s not consistent enough to start on a weekly basis.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense – The Chiefs intercepted Ryan Fitzpatrick 6 times even though they didn’t get any sacks.  They only gave up 3 points to the Jets and scored 2 DTDs.

 

QB Disasters!


Ryan Fitzpatrick
– 6 Interceptions! 6 Interceptions???  Yes, 6!  The Jets couldn’t get anything going in the game and the offense was shut down by the Kansas City Chiefs defense.  He’ll bounce back but he’s only a low-end QB2.

Carson Palmer – While he was respectable with 287 passing yards, 0 TDs and 4 Ints will get you on this list.  He’ll rebound but don’t expect the same career year as 2015.

Cam Newton / Kelvin Benjamin – Cam Newton was sacked 8 times and threw 3 Ints with no TDs.  Benjamin was blanked and only had 1 target against the vaunted Minnesota Vikings defense.  They’ll both bounce back.

 

Week 4 Injury Replacements


Jeremy Langford
– Langford is out 4-6 weeks with a severe ankle sprain and Jordan Howard looked good as his replacement in week 3.  He had 9 carries for 45 yards and 4 catches for 47 yards.  Ka’Deem Carey has his own hamstring injury but could get some work if active.  Howard is the running back to own while Langford is out and should be a hot waiver wire pickup.

Thomas Rawls – Rawls is expected to be out for “a few weeks”.  If you’re a Rawls owner and don’t already have Christine Michael, you’re probably too late.  In his absence in week 2, Michael (20-106-2) ran for over 100 yards with 2 scores.  He looks to carry the load until Rawls returns.

Chris Ivory – In his first game back from an undisclosed injury, Ivory injured his knee and ankle in this week’s game.  He’s questionable and we’ll have to see how his practice week progresses.  If he’s out, T.J. Yeldon should carry the load against a weak Indianapolis Colts defense.

Shane Vereen – Vereen was placed on IR and will be out the next 8 weeks at minimum.  If Rashad Jennings doesn’t return to action this week, Orleans Darkwa (10-53-1) will likely be the lead back.  Paul Perkins and the flashy Bobby Rainey could both get some carries.

Ryan Mathews Wendell Smallwood (17-79-1) carried the load after Mathews left the game after only 2 carries.  Kenjon Barner (8-42-1) chipped in as well and Darren Sproles (6-128-1) was used in the passing game.

 

Words of Wisdom

Through 3 weeks of the fantasy season, we now know where our teams’ strengths and weaknesses are.  Bye weeks will be starting in week 4, and depth at all positions is so important.  All fantasy players will be tested to roll out competitive lineups with the off days and injuries already piling up.  Week 4 will have the return of Le’Veon Bell from suspension.  And we expect Tom Brady and Josh Gordon to infuse fantasy teams in week 5.  Be active on the waiver wire but don’t just waste pickups on every one week wonder.  Remember, that free agent pickup could win you a fantasy championship!